FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division

Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

260.6 – 160.75

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

284 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 25.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 324.2 ±10.4

231High Voltage

Season APEX 101.7Event APEX 26.48Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4063TriKzR4Kidz

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 140.26Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 93.86Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 276.9 ±10.4

7616Cerberus

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 55.12Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX -5.04Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 110.67Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 231, 4063, 418

/ 100 compat

Projected

260.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 231, 4063, 418

Auto

58.6 22%

Teleop

150.9 57%

Endgame

55.4 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7616, 8818, 7492

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7616, 8818, 7492

Auto

33.9 21%

Teleop

80.7 51%

Endgame

44.1 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.38 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score260.6pts

Blue projected score160.8pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 99.9
Score range: 108–314
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 418 vs event baseline 292.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

324.2Season APEX276.9

58.6Auto33.9

150.9Teleop80.7

55.4Endgame44.1

116Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	28
teleop	154	57
endgame	63	49
foul	0	0
total	284	134

Result

Final score

284 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 25.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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