FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

257.64 – 216.18

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

219 – 166

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 432.7 ±9.3

3561RoboRaiders

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 63.39Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 86.37Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 107.88Rank 17Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261 ±10.4

10518D.A.D.S

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 26.77Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

457⚙️ The Grease Monkeys ⚙️

Season APEX 135.1Event APEX 151.51Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8177Vector

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 37.9Rank 35Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3561, 127, 9140

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3561, 127, 9140

Auto

39.5 16%

Teleop

134.8 54%

Endgame

75.4 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10518, 457, 8177

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10518, 457, 8177

Auto

34.6 15%

Teleop

131.1 58%

Endgame

59.7 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.96 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score257.6pts

Blue projected score216.2pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 41.5
Score range: 163–311
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 385 vs event baseline 293.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

432.7Season APEX261

39.5Auto34.6

134.8Teleop131.1

75.4Endgame59.7

88Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	20
teleop	142	96
endgame	44	50
foul	0	0
total	219	166

Result

Final score

219 – 166

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.