FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

168.03 – 446

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

262 – 529

Prediction correct · off by 88.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 434.7 ±9.8

8769G.O.R.T.s

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 44.25Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 99.56Rank 17Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

231High Voltage

Season APEX 101.7Event APEX 24.22Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 572.9 ±9.8

2689Team Alpha

Season APEX 106Event APEX 100.48Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 240.01Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 105.51Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8769, 9140, 231

/ 100 compat

Projected

168 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8769, 9140, 231

Auto

34.0 20%

Teleop

91.8 55%

Endgame

42.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2689, 9128, 7312

/ 100 compat

Projected

446 pts

~2.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2689, 9128, 7312

Auto

101.5 23%

Teleop

204.4 46%

Endgame

139.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score168pts

Blue projected score446pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 31%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -278
Score range: 116–498
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 791 vs event baseline 288.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

434.7Season APEX572.9

34Auto101.5

91.8Teleop204.4

42.6Endgame139.2

94Consistency107

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	110
teleop	138	297
endgame	93	92
foul	10	30
total	262	529

Result

Final score

262 – 529

Prediction correct · off by 88.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.