Qualification · Qualification 53
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
352.68 – 269.28
74%26%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
336 – 149
Prediction correct · off by 68.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 431.7 ±9.8
Season APEX 86Event APEX 85.17Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 114.28Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 153.23Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 362.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 101.7Event APEX 40.38Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 121.66Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112Event APEX 107.24Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2158, 5572, 4063
69
/ 100 compatProjected
352.7 pts
~2.4 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 2158, 5572, 4063
Auto
51.6 15%
Teleop
223.0 64%
Endgame
71.6 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 231, 8576, 4639
66
/ 100 compatProjected
269.3 pts
~1.2 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 231, 8576, 4639
Auto
48.5 18%
Teleop
151.1 56%
Endgame
67.9 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.43 · Blue 1.22
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score352.7pts
Blue projected score269.3pts
Red win probability74%
Event bonus sample210alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 9%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 83.4
- Score range
- 218–404
- Upset likelihood
- 26%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
431.7Season APEX362.3
51.6Auto48.5
223Teleop151.1
71.6Endgame67.9
31Consistency129
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 57 | 36 |
| teleop | 217 | 110 |
| endgame | 62 | 3 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 336 | 149 |
Result
Final score
336 – 149
Prediction correct · off by 68.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.