FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

203.54 – 105.71

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

348 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 126.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 422.6 ±9.8

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 85.71Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10913Robot Wranglers

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX -1.08Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2848Rangers

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 118.91Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.7 ±10.4

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 93.98Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX -29.23Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8769G.O.R.T.s

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 40.96Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7312, 10913, 2848

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7312, 10913, 2848

Auto

26.5 14%

Teleop

118.9 61%

Endgame

50.4 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4639, 8818, 8769

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4639, 8818, 8769

Auto

22.2 22%

Teleop

41.4 41%

Endgame

38.2 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.2 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score203.5pts

Blue projected score105.7pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 97.8
Score range: 55–255
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 562 vs event baseline 282.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

422.6Season APEX265.7

26.5Auto22.2

118.9Teleop41.4

50.4Endgame38.2

121Consistency161

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	32
teleop	208	123
endgame	97	59
foul	0	0
total	348	214

Result

Final score

348 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 126.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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