FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

335.35 – 367.86

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

316 – 403

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 312 ±10.4

9136Rampage

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 71.76Rank 43Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 93.66Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

457⚙️ The Grease Monkeys ⚙️

Season APEX 135.1Event APEX 169.93Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 536 ±9.3

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 167.79Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 87.02Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2848Rangers

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 113.05Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9136, 7312, 457

/ 100 compat

Projected

335.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9136, 7312, 457

Auto

47.6 14%

Teleop

194.5 59%

Endgame

87.4 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4206, 4639, 2848

/ 100 compat

Projected

367.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4206, 4639, 2848

Auto

55.7 15%

Teleop

209.8 58%

Endgame

99.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.6 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score335.4pts

Blue projected score367.9pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32.5
Score range: 285–418
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 719 vs event baseline 277.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

312Season APEX536

47.6Auto55.7

194.5Teleop209.8

87.4Endgame99.3

108Consistency106

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	69
teleop	159	262
endgame	131	72
foul	5	0
total	316	403

Result

Final score

316 – 403

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.