FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division

Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

204.93 – 321.8

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

268 – 322

Prediction correct · off by 31.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 326 ±10.4

8769G.O.R.T.s

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 9.35Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3561RoboRaiders

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 80.51Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8576Golden Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 115.07Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 404.8 ±9.8

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 162.28Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5411RoboTalons

Season APEX 61.8Event APEX -5.16Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6773Max Throttle Mavericks

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 164.68Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8769, 3561, 8576

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8769, 3561, 8576

Auto

42.2 22%

Teleop

107.5 57%

Endgame

38.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7492, 5411, 6773

/ 100 compat

Projected

321.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7492, 5411, 6773

Auto

48.7 15%

Teleop

205.6 64%

Endgame

64.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.08 · Blue 2.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score204.9pts

Blue projected score321.8pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -116.9
Score range: 155–372
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 590 vs event baseline 279.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

326Season APEX404.8

42.2Auto48.7

107.5Teleop205.6

38.1Endgame64.5

160Consistency129

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	62
teleop	104	201
endgame	107	54
foul	10	5
total	268	322

Result

Final score

268 – 322

Prediction correct · off by 31.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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