FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

252.35 – 445.21

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

335 – 476

Prediction correct · off by 56.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 366.4 ±10.4

2714♨️ BBQ ♨️

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 128.45Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5427Steel Talons

Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 84.59Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

231High Voltage

Season APEX 101.7Event APEX 39.31Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 542.3 ±9.4

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 209.64Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8576Golden Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 138.98Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8114Rocketeers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 96.59Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2714, 5427, 231

/ 100 compat

Projected

252.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2714, 5427, 231

Auto

39.3 16%

Teleop

143.2 59%

Endgame

61.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6369, 8576, 8114

/ 100 compat

Projected

445.2 pts

~2.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6369, 8576, 8114

Auto

93.0 22%

Teleop

210.4 49%

Endgame

129.0 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.96 · Blue 2.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score252.4pts

Blue projected score445.2pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -192.9
Score range: 203–494
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 811 vs event baseline 270.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

366.4Season APEX542.3

39.3Auto93

143.2Teleop210.4

61.4Endgame129

167Consistency187

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	54
teleop	193	289
endgame	75	128
foul	0	5
total	335	476

Result

Final score

335 – 476

Prediction correct · off by 56.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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