FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

252.19 – 293.32

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

354 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 81.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 526.1 ±9.8

11178Revelation

Season APEX 196Event APEX 104.08Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 70.38Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6773Max Throttle Mavericks

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 77.73Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 495 ±9.8

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 122.82Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2714♨️ BBQ ♨️

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 122.52Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10385Cycle-Breakers

Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 47.98Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11178, 4639, 6773

/ 100 compat

Projected

252.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11178, 4639, 6773

Auto

60.8 25%

Teleop

146.7 59%

Endgame

40.2 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2583, 2714, 10385

/ 100 compat

Projected

293.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2583, 2714, 10385

Auto

58.0 20%

Teleop

154.5 52%

Endgame

82.1 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.56 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score252.2pts

Blue projected score293.3pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.1
Score range: 207–338
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 709 vs event baseline 252.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

526.1Season APEX495

60.8Auto58

146.7Teleop154.5

40.2Endgame82.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	81
teleop	171	224
endgame	104	50
foul	5	0
total	354	355

Result

Final score

354 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 81.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.