FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

304.11 – 180.5

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

430 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 66.2 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 601.3 ±9.8

8576Golden Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 99.58Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 86.24Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 118.29Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 325.2 ±10.4

7616Cerberus

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 76.81Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8769G.O.R.T.s

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX -22.15Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

457⚙️ The Grease Monkeys ⚙️

Season APEX 135.1Event APEX 125.84Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8576, 418, 9128

/ 100 compat

Projected

304.1 pts

~2.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8576, 418, 9128

Auto

61.1 21%

Teleop

172.2 58%

Endgame

61.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7616, 8769, 457

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7616, 8769, 457

Auto

49.8 27%

Teleop

87.5 48%

Endgame

44.0 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.57 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score304.1pts

Blue projected score180.5pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 123.6
Score range: 136–349
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 617 vs event baseline 247.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

601.3Season APEX325.2

61.1Auto49.8

172.2Teleop87.5

61.9Endgame44

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	114	36
teleop	170	112
endgame	131	39
foul	15	0
total	430	187

Result

Final score

430 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 66.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.