FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

673.73 – 434.86

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

608 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 104.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 895.1 ±8.1

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 88.7Rank 17Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 293.01Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 292.02Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 673.5 ±8.7

2848Rangers

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 160.8Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 87.67Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8749Farmersville Robotics

Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 186.39Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9140, 9128, 6369

/ 100 compat

Projected

673.7 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9140, 9128, 6369

Auto

126.0 19%

Teleop

376.1 57%

Endgame

161.3 24%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2848, 5414, 8749

/ 100 compat

Projected

434.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2848, 5414, 8749

Auto

73.4 17%

Teleop

237.7 56%

Endgame

114.4 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.83 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score673.7pts

Blue projected score434.9pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 238.9
Score range: 379–730
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 900 vs event baseline 310.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

895.1Season APEX673.5

126Auto73.4

376.1Teleop237.7

161.3Endgame114.4

43Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	188	80
teleop	328	114
endgame	92	83
foul	0	15
total	608	292

Result

Final score

608 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 104.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.