FIRST In Texas District Championship - Mercury Division

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

165.61 – 131.62

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

146 – 168

Prediction missed · off by 28 points

red allianceΣ Season APEX 185.2 ±13.9

324Chips

Season APEX 101Event APEX 95.69Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9577Recoil

Season APEX 30.2Event APEX 23.98Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2687Team Apprentice

Season APEX 54Event APEX 45.94Rank 45Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 140.5 ±13.3

10014REBELLION

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 67.85Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 29.1Event APEX 39.81Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6901Knights

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 23.96Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 34
Score range: 81–217
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 314 vs event baseline 281.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

185.2Season APEX140.5

32.7Auto33.6

76.1Teleop54.9

61.1Endgame40.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	45
teleop	53	64
endgame	27	54
foul	30	5
total	146	168

Result

Final score

146 – 168

Prediction missed · score err 28

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

agree