FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

359.35 – 106.89

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

545 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 109.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 747.9 ±9.3

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX -3.37Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 201.59Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 161.13Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 448.7 ±9.8

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 61.39Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 10.2Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 35.3Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8370, 9128, 6800

/ 100 compat

Projected

359.4 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8370, 9128, 6800

Auto

82.1 23%

Teleop

216.5 62%

Endgame

52.1 15%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6377, 1477, 7312

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.9 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6377, 1477, 7312

Auto

26.9 28%

Teleop

50.1 51%

Endgame

20.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.35 · Blue 0.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score359.4pts

Blue projected score106.9pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 252.5
Score range: 83–383
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 686 vs event baseline 130.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

747.9Season APEX448.7

82.1Auto26.9

216.5Teleop50.1

52.1Endgame20.6

0Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	32
teleop	345	53
endgame	122	46
foul	0	10
total	545	141

Result

Final score

545 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 109.9 pts

Match videos

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