FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

103.11 – 83

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

119 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 11.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 448.7 ±9.8

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 60.57Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 8.22Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 34.32Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 161.7 ±12.1

5790Proto-Titans

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 25.32Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 36.83Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9289Vikings

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 20.85Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6377, 1477, 7312

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6377, 1477, 7312

Auto

26.4 29%

Teleop

47.6 52%

Endgame

17.8 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5790, 5431, 9289

/ 100 compat

Projected

83 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5790, 5431, 9289

Auto

15.6 21%

Teleop

38.1 50%

Endgame

22.1 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103.1pts

Blue projected score83pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 20.1
Score range: 59–127
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 194 vs event baseline 131.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

448.7Season APEX161.7

26.4Auto15.6

47.6Teleop38.1

17.8Endgame22.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	17
teleop	56	45
endgame	29	13
foul	0	0
total	119	75

Result

Final score

119 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 11.9 pts

Match videos

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