FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

352.91 – 103.37

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

381 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 26.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 747.9 ±9.3

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX -5.74Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 199.43Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 159.22Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 222.1 ±11

7616Cerberus

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 33.54Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 32.36Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6645Alloy Obsession

Season APEX 73Event APEX 37.47Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8370, 9128, 6800

/ 100 compat

Projected

352.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8370, 9128, 6800

Auto

79.9 23%

Teleop

206.4 60%

Endgame

56.9 17%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7616, 10118, 6645

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.4 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7616, 10118, 6645

Auto

34.0 33%

Teleop

37.8 37%

Endgame

31.0 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score352.9pts

Blue projected score103.4pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 249.5
Score range: 80–376
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 509 vs event baseline 129.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

747.9Season APEX222.1

79.9Auto34

206.4Teleop37.8

56.9Endgame31

54Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	41
teleop	251	44
endgame	30	38
foul	5	5
total	381	128

Result

Final score

381 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 26.4 pts

Match videos

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