FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

62.27 – 24.47

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

22 – 63

Prediction missed · off by 39.4 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 142.7 ±12.2

5261Cyber Shock

Season APEX 82.2Event APEX -23.98Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5788Eagle Spec Ops

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 71.52Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5923WildC.A.T.S.

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX 14.73Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 396.1 ±9.8

5417Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 10.51Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5892Energy HEROs

Season APEX 101.6Event APEX 14.45Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX -0.49Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5261, 5788, 5923

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5261, 5788, 5923

Auto

10.4 17%

Teleop

49.7 80%

Endgame

1.7 3%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5417, 5892, 1477

/ 100 compat

Projected

24.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5417, 5892, 1477

Auto

-0.8 0%

Teleop

26.3 100%

Endgame

-4.4 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62.3pts

Blue projected score24.5pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.8
Score range: 4–82
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 85 vs event baseline 112.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

142.7Season APEX396.1

10.4Auto-0.8

49.7Teleop26.3

1.7Endgame-4.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	13
teleop	14	41
endgame	1	4
foul	0	5
total	22	63

Result

Final score

22 – 63

Prediction missed · off by 39.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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