Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
163.15 – 17.68
86%14%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
36 – 143
Prediction missed · off by 126.2 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 154.3 ±12.7
Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 58Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 82.29Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 22.86Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 384.8 ±10.4
Season APEX 36.5Event APEX 5.57Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 235.9Event APEX -8.46Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 20.57Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9289, 7115, 5431
80
/ 100 compatProjected
163.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9289, 7115, 5431
Auto
34.6 21%
Teleop
96.3 59%
Endgame
32.3 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9478, 118, 6377
27
/ 100 compatProjected
17.7 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 9478, 118, 6377
Auto
5.6 35%
Teleop
4.5 28%
Endgame
5.9 37%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 0.68
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score163.2pts
Blue projected score17.7pts
Red win probability86%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 145.5
- Score range
- -5–186
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
154.3Season APEX384.8
34.6Auto5.6
96.3Teleop4.5
32.3Endgame5.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 33 |
| teleop | 11 | 54 |
| endgame | 15 | 56 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 36 | 143 |
Result
Final score
36 – 143
Prediction missed · off by 126.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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