FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

234.66 – 49.24

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

209 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 591 ±9.8

5892Energy HEROs

Season APEX 101.6Event APEX 36.24Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

324Chips

Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 37.47Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 160.95Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.6 ±11.7

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 34.68Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5923WildC.A.T.S.

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX -13.17Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8177Vector

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 27.73Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5892, 324, 6800

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5892, 324, 6800

Auto

42.1 18%

Teleop

150.8 65%

Endgame

40.1 17%

Strengths

· 6800 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7492, 5923, 8177

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.2 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7492, 5923, 8177

Auto

5.8 13%

Teleop

18.8 43%

Endgame

19.0 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score234.7pts

Blue projected score49.2pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 185.4
Score range: 25–259
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 282 vs event baseline 131.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

591Season APEX213.6

42.1Auto5.8

150.8Teleop18.8

40.1Endgame19

0Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	12
teleop	76	24
endgame	67	22
foul	0	15
total	209	73

Result

Final score

209 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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