FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

36.1 – 231.37

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25 – 351

Prediction correct · off by 65.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.9 ±12.8

9478Robo-Colts HSISL

Season APEX 36.5Event APEX -4.87Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5417Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 15.23Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 25.74Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 480.3 ±11.1

5790Proto-Titans

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 15.11Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 188.52Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6645Alloy Obsession

Season APEX 73Event APEX 27.74Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9478, 5417, 7115

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9478, 5417, 7115

Auto

9.2 26%

Teleop

14.2 41%

Endgame

11.4 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5790, 9128, 6645

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5790, 9128, 6645

Auto

51.9 24%

Teleop

133.3 61%

Endgame

34.2 16%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.45 · Blue 2.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score36.1pts

Blue projected score231.4pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -195.3
Score range: 13–254
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 376 vs event baseline 130.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

171.9Season APEX480.3

9.2Auto51.9

14.2Teleop133.3

11.4Endgame34.2

16Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	75
teleop	12	219
endgame	0	57
foul	0	0
total	25	351

Result

Final score

25 – 351

Prediction correct · off by 65.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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