FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

77.01 – 287.69

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

38 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 60.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.7 ±10.5

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 35.03Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5790Proto-Titans

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 17.57Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 24.41Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 481.3 ±9.8

8177Vector

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 29.02Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 171.59Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 87.08Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 127, 5790, 8370

/ 100 compat

Projected

77 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 127, 5790, 8370

Auto

13.1 21%

Teleop

38.3 61%

Endgame

11.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8177, 10340, 4639

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8177, 10340, 4639

Auto

68.9 24%

Teleop

164.2 58%

Endgame

48.6 17%

Strengths

· 10340 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.4 · Blue 2.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score77pts

Blue projected score287.7pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -210.7
Score range: 50–315
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 408 vs event baseline 148.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

223.7Season APEX481.3

13.1Auto68.9

38.3Teleop164.2

11.3Endgame48.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	90
teleop	5	223
endgame	11	57
foul	15	0
total	38	370

Result

Final score

38 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 60.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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