FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

227.27 – 71.67

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

152 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 50.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 418.8 ±11.2

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 195.06Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5923WildC.A.T.S.

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX -4.7Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 36.91Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 293.2 ±11.1

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 25.17Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 33.99Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5790Proto-Titans

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 12.51Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9128, 5923, 10118

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9128, 5923, 10118

Auto

56.4 25%

Teleop

122.5 55%

Endgame

43.5 20%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5414, 5431, 5790

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.7 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5414, 5431, 5790

Auto

15.3 26%

Teleop

25.5 43%

Endgame

19.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score227.3pts

Blue projected score71.7pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 155.6
Score range: 49–250
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 250 vs event baseline 130.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

418.8Season APEX293.2

56.4Auto15.3

122.5Teleop25.5

43.5Endgame19.2

12Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	76	18
teleop	60	41
endgame	11	29
foul	5	10
total	152	98

Result

Final score

152 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 50.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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