FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.12 – 342.87

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

77 – 362

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.1 ±12.2

5417Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 12.52Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9307Spicy Chihuahuas

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 20.21Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9289Vikings

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 16.39Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 728.7 ±9.9

6645Alloy Obsession

Season APEX 73Event APEX 26.59Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 156.35Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 159.93Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5417, 9307, 9289

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.1 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5417, 9307, 9289

Auto

16.8 31%

Teleop

27.3 50%

Endgame

10.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6645, 10340, 6800

/ 100 compat

Projected

342.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6645, 10340, 6800

Auto

80.6 24%

Teleop

209.2 61%

Endgame

52.9 15%

Strengths

· 6800 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.36 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.1pts

Blue projected score342.9pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -293.7
Score range: 26–366
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 439 vs event baseline 128.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

197.1Season APEX728.7

16.8Auto80.6

27.3Teleop209.2

10.8Endgame52.9

12Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	69
teleop	21	242
endgame	19	51
foul	25	0
total	77	362

Result

Final score

77 – 362

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.