FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

132.97 – 57.38

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

224 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 70.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 414.3 ±10.7

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 92.32Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 18.23Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 22.42Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 247.8 ±11

324Chips

Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 36.29Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11277ARC

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX -10.65Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 31.74Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3847, 7115, 127

/ 100 compat

Projected

133 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3847, 7115, 127

Auto

28.2 22%

Teleop

71.1 57%

Endgame

26.3 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 324, 11277, 5431

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 324, 11277, 5431

Auto

21.3 42%

Teleop

12.9 25%

Endgame

16.9 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.85 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score133pts

Blue projected score57.4pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 75.6
Score range: 34–156
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 128.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

414.3Season APEX247.8

28.2Auto21.3

71.1Teleop12.9

26.3Endgame16.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	31
teleop	141	33
endgame	41	29
foul	0	15
total	224	108

Result

Final score

224 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 70.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.