FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

88.46 – 7.12

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

109 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307 ±11.7

9181PlatyPirates

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 23.16Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

324Chips

Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 29.79Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 35.51Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.2 ±11.2

11277ARC

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX -16.56Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 14.69Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9307Spicy Chihuahuas

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 8.99Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9181, 324, 7312

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9181, 324, 7312

Auto

32.1 39%

Teleop

24.3 29%

Endgame

26.1 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11277, 1477, 9307

/ 100 compat

Projected

7.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11277, 1477, 9307

Auto

13.6 100%

Teleop

-6.4 0%

Endgame

0.2 3%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88.5pts

Blue projected score7.1pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 81.3
Score range: -20–115
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 129 vs event baseline 148.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307Season APEX346.2

32.1Auto13.6

24.3Teleop-6.4

26.1Endgame0.2

15Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	17
teleop	55	3
endgame	37	0
foul	0	0
total	109	20

Result

Final score

109 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.