FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

180.44 – 44.25

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

299 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 78.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 575.2 ±8.4

7616Cerberus

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 18.23Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 83.8Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 78.41Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 351.5 ±11.2

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 8.81Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5261Cyber Shock

Season APEX 82.2Event APEX 20.73Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 14.71Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7616, 3847, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7616, 3847, 118

Auto

41.2 23%

Teleop

81.1 46%

Endgame

53.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7115, 5261, 1477

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7115, 5261, 1477

Auto

9.1 21%

Teleop

34.1 78%

Endgame

0.4 1%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score180.4pts

Blue projected score44.3pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 136.2
Score range: 21–203
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 382 vs event baseline 129.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

575.2Season APEX351.5

41.2Auto9.1

81.1Teleop34.1

53.9Endgame0.4

16Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	17
teleop	166	31
endgame	62	30
foul	0	5
total	299	83

Result

Final score

299 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 78.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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