FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

164.15 – 21.19

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

160 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 299.4 ±11

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 44.38Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 108.79Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5790Proto-Titans

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 10.98Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.1 ±10.5

11277ARC

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 2.34Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 16.6Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6243Energy NERDs

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 2.25Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7492, 4639, 5790

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7492, 4639, 5790

Auto

25.3 18%

Teleop

87.5 62%

Endgame

27.7 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11277, 127, 6243

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11277, 127, 6243

Auto

16.4 100%

Teleop

-11.4 0%

Endgame

8.2 62%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.16 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score164.2pts

Blue projected score21.2pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 143
Score range: -2–187
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 226 vs event baseline 128.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

299.4Season APEX235.1

25.3Auto16.4

87.5Teleop-11.4

27.7Endgame8.2

7Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	24
teleop	71	25
endgame	37	17
foul	10	0
total	160	66

Result

Final score

160 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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