FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.59 – 238.64

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

70 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 23 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.2 ±11

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 28.09Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8177Vector

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 30.32Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9289Vikings

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 15.18Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 461.6 ±10.5

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 170.82Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 29.45Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 38.37Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7312, 8177, 9289

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.6 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7312, 8177, 9289

Auto

25.9 36%

Teleop

25.7 36%

Endgame

20.4 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6800, 5431, 10118

/ 100 compat

Projected

238.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6800, 5431, 10118

Auto

50.1 22%

Teleop

129.1 56%

Endgame

49.4 22%

Strengths

· 6800 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score73.6pts

Blue projected score238.6pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -165
Score range: 51–262
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 351 vs event baseline 127.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

240.2Season APEX461.6

25.9Auto50.1

25.7Teleop129.1

20.4Endgame49.4

0Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	71
teleop	37	151
endgame	20	59
foul	5	0
total	70	281

Result

Final score

70 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 23 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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