FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.87 – 88

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 18.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 178.9 ±11.7

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 1.72Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9181PlatyPirates

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 27.76Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5417Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 9.39Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 354.8 ±10.5

324Chips

Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 47Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5788Eagle Spec Ops

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 9.01Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 31.99Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8370, 9181, 5417

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8370, 9181, 5417

Auto

12.2 42%

Teleop

7.9 27%

Endgame

9.2 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 324, 5788, 5414

/ 100 compat

Projected

88 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 324, 5788, 5414

Auto

13.6 17%

Teleop

38.9 48%

Endgame

28.6 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38.9pts

Blue projected score88pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -49.1
Score range: 16–111
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 112 vs event baseline 129.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

178.9Season APEX354.8

12.2Auto13.6

7.9Teleop38.9

9.2Endgame28.6

60Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	21
teleop	25	23
endgame	13	18
foul	0	0
total	50	62

Result

Final score

50 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 18.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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