FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.54 – 162.41

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 14.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 184 ±11.6

5788Eagle Spec Ops

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 9.79Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6645Alloy Obsession

Season APEX 73Event APEX 26.13Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8177Vector

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 28.62Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 537.5 ±9.3

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 48.23Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 30.68Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 83.5Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5788, 6645, 8177

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5788, 6645, 8177

Auto

13.3 20%

Teleop

38.9 59%

Endgame

14.0 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6377, 5414, 3847

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6377, 5414, 3847

Auto

36.7 23%

Teleop

84.8 54%

Endgame

35.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.79 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.5pts

Blue projected score162.4pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -97.9
Score range: 42–185
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 256 vs event baseline 125.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184Season APEX537.5

13.3Auto36.7

38.9Teleop84.8

14Endgame35.5

38Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	25
teleop	31	94
endgame	10	41
foul	10	30
total	66	190

Result

Final score

66 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 14.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.