FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

64.37 – 31.69

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

111 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 27 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 299.4 ±10.4

5417Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 8.78Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7616Cerberus

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 14.84Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 40.75Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.3 ±11.7

5923WildC.A.T.S.

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX 4.14Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 0.44Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 27.11Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5417, 7616, 7492

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5417, 7616, 7492

Auto

12.1 25%

Teleop

16.7 34%

Endgame

20.4 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5923, 8370, 7312

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5923, 8370, 7312

Auto

8.6 39%

Teleop

1.1 5%

Endgame

12.2 56%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.4pts

Blue projected score31.7pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.7
Score range: 9–87
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 150 vs event baseline 126.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

299.4Season APEX188.3

12.1Auto8.6

16.7Teleop1.1

20.4Endgame12.2

9Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	17
teleop	53	17
endgame	38	0
foul	5	5
total	111	39

Result

Final score

111 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 27 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.