FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.69 – 271.14

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 288

Prediction correct · off by 18.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 250 ±11

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 65.21Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6243Energy NERDs

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 17.36Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5417Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 10.12Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 579.9 ±10.7

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 18.47Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 228.73Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 23.94Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6377, 6243, 5417

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.7 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6377, 6243, 5417

Auto

17.2 21%

Teleop

44.0 54%

Endgame

20.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7115, 9128, 5414

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7115, 9128, 5414

Auto

59.2 22%

Teleop

159.0 59%

Endgame

49.9 19%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.47 · Blue 2.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score92.7pts

Blue projected score271.1pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -178.4
Score range: 66–298
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 360 vs event baseline 148.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

250Season APEX579.9

17.2Auto59.2

44Teleop159

20.9Endgame49.9

52Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	50
teleop	31	176
endgame	21	62
foul	5	0
total	72	288

Result

Final score

72 – 288

Prediction correct · off by 18.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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