FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

75.74 – 66.15

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

91 – 146

Prediction missed · off by 47.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 241.1 ±12.2

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 36.82Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9307Spicy Chihuahuas

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 17.61Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 21.31Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 399.6 ±10.5

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 8.36Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 40.7Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6645Alloy Obsession

Season APEX 73Event APEX 17.09Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5431, 9307, 7312

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5431, 9307, 7312

Auto

30.1 46%

Teleop

13.0 20%

Endgame

22.3 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1477, 6377, 6645

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1477, 6377, 6645

Auto

22.2 40%

Teleop

26.5 47%

Endgame

7.3 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.7pts

Blue projected score66.2pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 9.6
Score range: 43–99
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 237 vs event baseline 128.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

241.1Season APEX399.6

30.1Auto22.2

13Teleop26.5

22.3Endgame7.3

16Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	22
teleop	49	91
endgame	24	28
foul	0	5
total	91	146

Result

Final score

91 – 146

Prediction missed · off by 47.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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