FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

128.27 – 21.7

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

130 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 410.5 ±9.7

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 88.5Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6645Alloy Obsession

Season APEX 73Event APEX 17.16Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5892Energy HEROs

Season APEX 101.6Event APEX 22.61Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 220.8 ±11.6

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 12.8Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5788Eagle Spec Ops

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 3.09Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6243Energy NERDs

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 5.81Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 118, 6645, 5892

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 118, 6645, 5892

Auto

22.8 19%

Teleop

62.2 51%

Endgame

37.0 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7312, 5788, 6243

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7312, 5788, 6243

Auto

18.8 100%

Teleop

-7.2 0%

Endgame

-6.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score128.3pts

Blue projected score21.7pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 106.6
Score range: -1–151
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 199 vs event baseline 127.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

410.5Season APEX220.8

22.8Auto18.8

62.2Teleop-7.2

37Endgame-6.1

72Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	16
teleop	84	30
endgame	16	23
foul	0	0
total	130	69

Result

Final score

130 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.