FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

226.68 – 57.18

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

260 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 518.2 ±10.5

9289Vikings

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 2.49Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 39.28Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 184.91Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 316.2 ±9.8

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 46.24Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 5.9Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 5.04Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9289, 7492, 9128

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9289, 7492, 9128

Auto

36.4 18%

Teleop

130.2 66%

Endgame

31.9 16%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10118, 8370, 1477

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.2 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10118, 8370, 1477

Auto

11.4 30%

Teleop

5.5 14%

Endgame

21.5 56%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score226.7pts

Blue projected score57.2pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 169.5
Score range: 34–250
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 314 vs event baseline 126.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

518.2Season APEX316.2

36.4Auto11.4

130.2Teleop5.5

31.9Endgame21.5

4Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	24
teleop	130	10
endgame	69	10
foul	0	10
total	260	54

Result

Final score

260 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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