FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

187.11 – 91.74

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

237 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 56.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 538.4 ±10.7

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 17.75Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 157.96Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9307Spicy Chihuahuas

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 11.4Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 356.4 ±9.8

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 37.02Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7616Cerberus

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 16.61Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5261Cyber Shock

Season APEX 82.2Event APEX 38.11Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 127, 6800, 9307

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 127, 6800, 9307

Auto

55.8 29%

Teleop

112.2 59%

Endgame

22.6 12%

Strengths

· 6800 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5414, 7616, 5261

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5414, 7616, 5261

Auto

28.8 27%

Teleop

53.5 51%

Endgame

23.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.97 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score187.1pts

Blue projected score91.7pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.4
Score range: 70–209
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 266 vs event baseline 123.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

538.4Season APEX356.4

55.8Auto28.8

112.2Teleop53.5

22.6Endgame23.1

7Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	14
teleop	124	5
endgame	53	5
foul	0	5
total	237	29

Result

Final score

237 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 56.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.