FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

140.43 – 26.82

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

150 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 8.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224.2 ±11

6243Energy NERDs

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 5.04Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 47.31Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 88.08Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 175.8 ±12.8

5923WildC.A.T.S.

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX -4.09Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 0.77Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5892Energy HEROs

Season APEX 101.6Event APEX 30.14Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6243, 10118, 4639

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6243, 10118, 4639

Auto

33.5 23%

Teleop

83.5 57%

Endgame

29.3 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5923, 7115, 5892

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5923, 7115, 5892

Auto

-4.5 0%

Teleop

43.9 100%

Endgame

2.7 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score140.4pts

Blue projected score26.8pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 113.6
Score range: 4–163
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 184 vs event baseline 128.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224.2Season APEX175.8

33.5Auto-4.5

83.5Teleop43.9

29.3Endgame2.7

58Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	8
teleop	39	12
endgame	33	9
foul	40	5
total	150	34

Result

Final score

150 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 8.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.