Qualification · Qualification 25
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
255.09 – 49.06
93%7%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
207 – 103
Prediction correct · off by 51 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 462.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 42.09Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 56.13Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 156.87Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 312 ±10.5
Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 11.29Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 29.78Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 73Event APEX 7.99Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6377, 5431, 10340
81
/ 100 compatProjected
255.1 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6377, 5431, 10340
Auto
53.7 21%
Teleop
153.3 61%
Endgame
45.5 18%
Strengths
- · 10340 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 127, 7492, 6645
39
/ 100 compatProjected
49.1 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 127, 7492, 6645
Auto
8.2 23%
Teleop
16.7 46%
Endgame
11.3 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score255.1pts
Blue projected score49.1pts
Red win probability93%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 206
- Score range
- 26–278
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
462.8Season APEX312
53.7Auto8.2
153.3Teleop16.7
45.5Endgame11.3
75Consistency60
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 73 | 21 |
| teleop | 98 | 41 |
| endgame | 31 | 11 |
| foul | 5 | 30 |
| total | 207 | 103 |
Result
Final score
207 – 103
Prediction correct · off by 51 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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