Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

255.0949.06

93%7%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

207103

Prediction correct · off by 51 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 462.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 42.09Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 56.13Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 156.87Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 312 ±10.5
Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 11.29Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 29.78Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 73Event APEX 7.99Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6377, 5431, 10340
81
/ 100 compat
Projected
255.1 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6377, 5431, 10340
Auto
53.7 21%
Teleop
153.3 61%
Endgame
45.5 18%
Strengths
  • · 10340 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 127, 7492, 6645
39
/ 100 compat
Projected
49.1 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 127, 7492, 6645
Auto
8.2 23%
Teleop
16.7 46%
Endgame
11.3 31%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score255.1pts
Blue projected score49.1pts
Red win probability93%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
206
Score range
26278
Upset likelihood
7%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 310 vs event baseline 127.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

462.8Season APEX312
53.7Auto8.2
153.3Teleop16.7
45.5Endgame11.3
75Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto7321
teleop9841
endgame3111
foul530
total207103

Result

Final score

207103

Prediction correct · off by 51 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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