FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

240.25 – 100.13

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

356 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 94.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 702.8 ±8.4

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 2.24Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 168.79Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 69.22Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 391 ±9.8

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 72.33Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11277ARC

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX -1.38Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5261Cyber Shock

Season APEX 82.2Event APEX 29.18Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7312, 9128, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7312, 9128, 118

Auto

62.6 28%

Teleop

138.2 61%

Endgame

26.0 11%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3847, 11277, 5261

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3847, 11277, 5261

Auto

24.2 25%

Teleop

58.8 61%

Endgame

13.3 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score240.3pts

Blue projected score100.1pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 140.1
Score range: 78–262
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 529 vs event baseline 120.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

702.8Season APEX391

62.6Auto24.2

138.2Teleop58.8

26Endgame13.3

111Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	35
teleop	126	93
endgame	108	35
foul	45	10
total	356	173

Result

Final score

356 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 94.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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