FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.75 – 120.16

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 11.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 248.8 ±11.7

9307Spicy Chihuahuas

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 18.99Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX -1.95Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

324Chips

Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 58.71Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.7 ±11

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 78.18Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7616Cerberus

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 34.04Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9289Vikings

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 7.94Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9307, 8370, 324

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9307, 8370, 324

Auto

15.7 24%

Teleop

14.3 22%

Endgame

34.8 54%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4639, 7616, 9289

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4639, 7616, 9289

Auto

42.0 34%

Teleop

62.0 50%

Endgame

19.5 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.8pts

Blue projected score120.2pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -44.4
Score range: 54–142
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 173 vs event baseline 122.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

248.8Season APEX254.7

15.7Auto42

14.3Teleop62

34.8Endgame19.5

38Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	37
teleop	28	34
endgame	31	27
foul	0	0
total	75	98

Result

Final score

75 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 11.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.