FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

136.67 – 80.11

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

311 – 8

Prediction correct · off by 123.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 436.8 ±9.8

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 128.53Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5261Cyber Shock

Season APEX 82.2Event APEX -5.27Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 13.41Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 146.2 ±13.3

9307Spicy Chihuahuas

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 43.35Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9478Robo-Colts HSISL

Season APEX 36.5Event APEX 12.2Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5788Eagle Spec Ops

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 24.56Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10340, 5261, 10118

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10340, 5261, 10118

Auto

35.6 25%

Teleop

96.6 68%

Endgame

10.2 7%

Strengths

· 10340 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9307, 9478, 5788

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9307, 9478, 5788

Auto

33.0 41%

Teleop

24.2 30%

Endgame

23.9 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score136.7pts

Blue projected score80.1pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56.6
Score range: 59–158
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 319 vs event baseline 114.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

436.8Season APEX146.2

35.6Auto33

96.6Teleop24.2

10.2Endgame23.9

49Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	3
teleop	168	0
endgame	72	5
foul	0	0
total	311	8

Result

Final score

311 – 8

Prediction correct · off by 123.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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