FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 94.52

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

128 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 101.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.7 ±11

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX -3.53Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 15.85Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX -15.1Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 415 ±11.2

9307Spicy Chihuahuas

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 24.66Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 50.66Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5892Energy HEROs

Season APEX 101.6Event APEX 19.2Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5431, 7492, 8370

/ 100 compat

Projected

-2.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5431, 7492, 8370

Auto

-8.5 79%

Teleop

-7.5 69%

Endgame

5.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9307, 3847, 5892

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9307, 3847, 5892

Auto

15.4 17%

Teleop

71.3 78%

Endgame

5.1 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-2.8pts

Blue projected score94.5pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -94.5
Score range: -19–114
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 298 vs event baseline 105.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222.7Season APEX415

-8.5Auto15.4

-7.5Teleop71.3

5.2Endgame5.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	47
teleop	34	90
endgame	26	33
foul	55	0
total	128	170

Result

Final score

128 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 101.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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