Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 138.64
14%86%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
75 – 135
Prediction correct · off by 39.3 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 248.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 0.13Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.3Event APEX -8.15Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 2.6Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 533.2 ±11.2
Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 49.9Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 16.73Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 356Event APEX 72.01Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10118, 9307, 7492
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-5.4 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 10118, 9307, 7492
Auto
-4.9 84%
Teleop
10.1 0%
Endgame
-11.0 100%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7115, 7312, 6800
77
/ 100 compatProjected
138.6 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 7115, 7312, 6800
Auto
22.4 16%
Teleop
84.1 61%
Endgame
32.5 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.21
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-5.4pts
Blue projected score138.6pts
Red win probability14%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -138.6
- Score range
- -20–159
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
248.1Season APEX533.2
-4.9Auto22.4
10.1Teleop84.1
-11Endgame32.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 50 |
| teleop | 34 | 61 |
| endgame | 30 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 75 | 135 |
Result
Final score
75 – 135
Prediction correct · off by 39.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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