FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

429.67 – 312.01

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

530 – 476

Prediction correct · off by 132.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 747.9 ±9.3

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 20.56Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 225.6Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 183.51Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 658.9 ±8.7

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 26.66Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 165.44Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 119.91Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8370, 9128, 6800

/ 100 compat

Projected

429.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8370, 9128, 6800

Auto

86.7 21%

Teleop

257.7 61%

Endgame

76.3 18%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 127, 10340, 3847

/ 100 compat

Projected

312 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 127, 10340, 3847

Auto

69.0 23%

Teleop

184.5 61%

Endgame

48.5 16%

Strengths

· 10340 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score429.7pts

Blue projected score312pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 117.7
Score range: 286–456
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1006 vs event baseline 144.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

747.9Season APEX658.9

86.7Auto69

257.7Teleop184.5

76.3Endgame48.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	72
teleop	359	285
endgame	56	114
foul	25	5
total	530	476

Result

Final score

530 – 476

Prediction correct · off by 132.2 pts

Match videos

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