FIT District Space City @ League City Event #1

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

416.65 – 286.08

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

522 – 445

Prediction correct · off by 132.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 747.9 ±9.3

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 16.33Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 221.29Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 179.03Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 602.1 ±9.9

6243Energy NERDs

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 12.61Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 159.96Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 113.51Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8370, 9128, 6800

/ 100 compat

Projected

416.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8370, 9128, 6800

Auto

85.8 21%

Teleop

252.2 62%

Endgame

69.1 17%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6243, 10340, 3847

/ 100 compat

Projected

286.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6243, 10340, 3847

Auto

66.3 23%

Teleop

171.8 60%

Endgame

46.1 16%

Strengths

· 10340 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score416.7pts

Blue projected score286.1pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 130.6
Score range: 261–442
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 967 vs event baseline 139.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

747.9Season APEX602.1

85.8Auto66.3

252.2Teleop171.8

69.1Endgame46.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	56
teleop	297	256
endgame	127	103
foul	5	30
total	522	445

Result

Final score

522 – 445

Prediction correct · off by 132.1 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.