FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

308.48 – 154.68

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

423 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 91.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 547.3 ±8.4

3676RedShift Robotics

Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 25.04Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 134.95Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 148.49Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 304.5 ±11.2

9307Spicy Chihuahuas

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 44.45Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 43.08Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 67.15Rank 15Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3676, 3847, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

308.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3676, 3847, 118

Auto

59.3 20%

Teleop

172.0 57%

Endgame

70.7 23%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 9307, 7312, 127

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9307, 7312, 127

Auto

25.9 17%

Teleop

90.9 59%

Endgame

38.3 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score308.5pts

Blue projected score154.7pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 153.8
Score range: 126–337
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 646 vs event baseline 162.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

547.3Season APEX304.5

59.3Auto25.9

172Teleop90.9

70.7Endgame38.3

37Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	22
teleop	256	89
endgame	97	97
foul	15	15
total	423	223

Result

Final score

423 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 91.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.