Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
149.22 – 152.4
49%51%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
194 – 376
Prediction correct · off by 134.2 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 340.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 88.61Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 40.86Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 19.75Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 582.7 ±8.4
Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 44.04Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 101.7Event APEX 19.75Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 88.61Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5829, 8515, 10904
78
/ 100 compatProjected
149.2 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5829, 8515, 10904
Auto
27.8 19%
Teleop
86.0 58%
Endgame
35.4 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3847, 231, 118
74
/ 100 compatProjected
152.4 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3847, 231, 118
Auto
25.0 16%
Teleop
103.2 68%
Endgame
24.2 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score149.2pts
Blue projected score152.4pts
Red win probability49%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -3.2
- Score range
- 127–174
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
340.8Season APEX582.7
27.8Auto25
86Teleop103.2
35.4Endgame24.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 69 |
| teleop | 89 | 247 |
| endgame | 81 | 60 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 194 | 376 |
Result
Final score
194 – 376
Prediction correct · off by 134.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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