Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
92.99 – 115.79
43%57%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
28 – 109
Prediction correct · off by 35.9 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 123.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 30.7Event APEX 36.13Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 5.43Rank 30Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 51.43Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333.7 ±10.4
Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 38.65Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 51.43Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 25.71Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5908, 5986, 6488
55
/ 100 compatProjected
93 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5908, 5986, 6488
Auto
19.2 21%
Teleop
57.9 62%
Endgame
16.0 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7312, 3735, 7616
64
/ 100 compatProjected
115.8 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7312, 3735, 7616
Auto
20.9 18%
Teleop
68.8 59%
Endgame
26.1 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score93pts
Blue projected score115.8pts
Red win probability43%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -22.8
- Score range
- 70–139
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
123.9Season APEX333.7
19.2Auto20.9
57.9Teleop68.8
16Endgame26.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 23 |
| teleop | 12 | 59 |
| endgame | 4 | 27 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 28 | 109 |
Result
Final score
28 – 109
Prediction correct · off by 35.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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