Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
129.14 – 61.95
70%30%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
82 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 28.5 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.6 ±11.6
Season APEX 48Event APEX 31.71Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 38.4Event APEX 14.29Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 83.14Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 187.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 33.71Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 31.71Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX -3.47Rank 32Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4587, 2969, 2585
62
/ 100 compatProjected
129.1 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4587, 2969, 2585
Auto
20.6 16%
Teleop
83.7 65%
Endgame
24.9 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3676, 7691, 9181
47
/ 100 compatProjected
62 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3676, 7691, 9181
Auto
15.3 25%
Teleop
27.8 45%
Endgame
18.9 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2 · Blue 1.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score129.1pts
Blue projected score62pts
Red win probability70%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 67.2
- Score range
- 37–154
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
157.6Season APEX187.4
20.6Auto15.3
83.7Teleop27.8
24.9Endgame18.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 12 |
| teleop | 43 | 24 |
| endgame | 20 | 16 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 82 | 52 |
Result
Final score
82 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 28.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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