FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.75 – 170.19

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

126 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 46.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 241.8 ±11.7

10904The Circuit Sorcerers

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 10.96Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 38.94Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3676RedShift Robotics

Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 20.85Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 300.2 ±10.4

3481Bronc Botz

Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 57.47Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7691TSA All Stars

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 36.24Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3735VorTX

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 76.48Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10904, 7312, 3676

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10904, 7312, 3676

Auto

15.8 21%

Teleop

35.7 49%

Endgame

22.0 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3481, 7691, 3735

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3481, 7691, 3735

Auto

27.3 16%

Teleop

99.7 57%

Endgame

47.7 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70.8pts

Blue projected score170.2pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -99.4
Score range: 42–199
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 258 vs event baseline 162.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

241.8Season APEX300.2

15.8Auto27.3

35.7Teleop99.7

22Endgame47.7

24Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	27
teleop	58	57
endgame	51	18
foul	0	30
total	126	132

Result

Final score

126 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 46.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree