FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

228.49 – 86.41

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

222 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 352.2 ±11

9307Spicy Chihuahuas

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 45.58Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 30.02Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 152.89Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.5 ±12.4

6488RoboRams

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 21.89Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7091KnightOwls

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 6.5Rank 31Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 58.02Rank 15Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9307, 4587, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9307, 4587, 118

Auto

51.7 23%

Teleop

129.0 57%

Endgame

47.2 21%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 6488, 7091, 127

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6488, 7091, 127

Auto

21.1 23%

Teleop

31.0 34%

Endgame

38.0 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score228.5pts

Blue projected score86.4pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 142.1
Score range: 57–257
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 301 vs event baseline 160.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

352.2Season APEX211.5

51.7Auto21.1

129Teleop31

47.2Endgame38

62Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	23
teleop	104	29
endgame	65	27
foul	10	0
total	222	79

Result

Final score

222 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree